ESPEYB15 11 Obesity and Weight Regulation Estimation of target weight (1 abstracts)
11.1 Simulation of Growth Trajectories of Childhood Obesity into Adulthood
Ward ZJ , Long MW , Resch SC , Giles CM , Cradock AL & Gortmaker SL
Center for Health Decision Science, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, USA
To read the full abstract: N Engl J Med. 2017 Nov 30;377(22):2145-2153
A broad range of public health and clinical efforts appear to have stabilized early childhood obesity rates in the United States (1). However, this simulation study shows that more than half of all children between the ages of 2 and 19 years in 2016 will be obese by the age of 35 years. The important effect of early-onset obesity on obesity in adulthood is demonstrated by this simulation study, since obese children at 2 years of age have only a 1-in-5 chance of not being obese by the age of 35 years. Obesity at older age halved this chance. The findings of this study highlights once more the importance of promoting a healthy weight throughout childhood.
1. Hales CM, Fryar CD, Carroll MD, et al. Trends in Obesity and Severe Obesity Prevalence in US Youth and Adults by Sex and Age, 2007-2008 to 2015-2016. JAMA. 2018 Apr 24;319(16):1723-1725
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ESPE Yearbook of Paediatric Endocrinology
ISSN 1662-4009 (Online)
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